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Non-Maturing Deposits Under Pressure, a Mirai RiskTech whitepaper on NMD modeling

Non-Maturing Deposits: How Banks Model NMDs for IRRBB and Liquidity

Luis Estrada By Luis Estrada
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3'
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From first principles to machine learning in deposit modeling for balance sheet, interest rate and liquidity risk management. What Are Non-Maturing Deposits? Non-maturing deposits (NMDs), also...

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Posts tagged: alm

Browse our full collection of articles on Balance Sheet Management, ALM, liquidity, risk, regulation, and financial technology.

Deposit balance chart viewed through a reversed lens, illustrating non-maturity deposit models built from conclusion to data
ALM Liquidity Interest Rate Risk

Non-Maturity Deposit Models: Built the Wrong Way Around

Luis Estrada By Luis Estrada
Oct 29, 2026, 9:00:09 AM — 10'

Most non-maturity deposit models are not wrong because banks use the wrong techniques. They are wrong because they are built in the wrong order: the...

Deposit balance line falling sharply over a few days, set against a slow 2007 run, illustrating the speed of the 2023 bank runs
ALM Liquidity Interest Rate Risk

What 2023 Taught Banks About Non-Maturity Deposit Behavior

Luis Estrada By Luis Estrada
Oct 22, 2026, 9:00:27 AM — 8'

On 9 March 2023, Silicon Valley Bank lost more than $40 billion of deposits in a single day, and its management expected to lose over $100 billion...

From 0% to 90%: the range of bank assumptions on core non-maturity deposits
ALM Liquidity Interest Rate Risk

Non-Maturity Deposit Assumptions: What the Data Says

Luis Estrada By Luis Estrada
Oct 14, 2026, 9:00:13 AM — 8'

Across the banking industry, assumptions about non-maturity deposits, or non-maturing deposits (NMDs), are usually discussed as methodology....